-
#335 | Elo: 1678
#224 | Elo: 1750
→
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 38% | 29% | 32%
→
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between Derby County and Wrexham AFC there is a total rating difference of 28 (= 1678 + 100 (homebonus) - 1750).
  • This prediction is based on 2746 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for Derby County versus Wrexham AFC before 2026/10/10

Competition Category Derby County
⌀ Rating
Wrexham AFC
⌀ Rating
Total:
P

W

D

L

GF

GA
⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
1740
1643
7232109 -2-15
Championship domestic league (tier 2)
1738
1692
613278 -3-17
FA Cup domestic cup
1756
1349
110031 +2+2



Historical and season performance for Derby County and Wrexham AFC



Derby County versus Wrexham AFC: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home → Result Probabilities:
H

D

A
Away →
2025-20262026/01/04 Championship Derby County
1700
-12
1688
43 29 28 Wrexham AFC
1728
+12
1740
2025-20262025/09/27 Championship Wrexham AFC
1677
-3
1674
49 27 24 Derby County
1655
+3
1658
2006-20072007/01/06 FA Cup Derby County
1756
+2
1758
84 12 5 Wrexham AFC
(as Wrexham FC)
1349
-2
1347
1981-19821982/04/03 Championship Wrexham AFC
1691
-3
1688
47 28 26 Derby County
1687
+3
1690
1981-19821981/11/14 Championship Derby County
1737
+6
1743
53 26 21 Wrexham AFC
1680
-6
1674
1980-19811981/02/28 Championship Wrexham AFC
1700
0
1700
36 29 35 Derby County
1793
0
1793
1980-19811980/09/20 Championship Derby County
1853
-17
1836
67 20 13 Wrexham AFC
1674
+17
1691

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