Samaxi FK
-
Qarabag FK
#1019 | Elo: 1383
Azerbaijan Cup, 2026/02/03
#145 | Elo: 1821
→
Probabilities (Home/Draw/Away): 10% | 17% | 73%
→
Points exchanged: /

Goal difference estimate based on historical outcomes

  • Between Samaxi FK and Qarabag FK there is a total rating difference of -338 (= 1383 + 100 (homebonus) - 1821).
  • This prediction is based on 104 historical games with the same rating constellation.
  • Note: The smaller the sample size, the more likely the distribution of historical outcomes will deviate from the theoretical probabilities quoted above.


Head-to-Head statistics for Samaxi FK versus Qarabag FK before 2026/02/03

Competition Category Samaxi FK
⌀ Rating		 Qarabag FK
⌀ Rating		 Total:
P
W
D
L
GF
GA		 ⌀ Elo +/- ∑ Elo +/-
Total
1530
1691
 8012234544124 -2-122
Premyer Liqasi domestic league (tier 1)
1534
1683
 7212223842106 -1-87
Azerbaijan Cup domestic cup
1495
1764
 8017218 -4-35



Historical and season performance for Samaxi FK and Qarabag FK



Samaxi FK versus Qarabag FK: all previous games

Season Date Competition Home → Result Probabilities:
H
D
A		 Away →
2025-20262025/10/26 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1849
 -9
1840
0 - 0
 87 10 3 Samaxi FK
1337
 +9
1346
2024-20252025/05/24 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
1343
 -2
1341
0 - 1
 10 17 73 Qarabag FK
1783
 +2
1785
2024-20252025/01/17 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1819
 +1
1820
3 - 2
 87 10 3 Samaxi FK
1319
 -1
1318
2024-20252024/12/19 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
1299
 -2
1297
0 - 1
 7 14 79 Qarabag FK
1815
 +2
1817
2024-20252024/10/27 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1812
 +1
1813
3 - 0
 86 11 3 Samaxi FK
1331
 -1
1330
2022-20232023/04/02 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
1335
 -2
1333
0 - 1
 7 13 80 Qarabag FK
1869
 +2
1871
2022-20232023/01/31 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1881
 +1
1882
3 - 1
 88 10 2 Samaxi FK
1357
 -1
1356
2022-20232022/10/30 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1335
 -2
1333
0 - 4
 6 12 82 Qarabag FK
1899
 +2
1901
2022-20232022/08/27 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1852
 +1
1853
4 - 0
 87 10 3 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1364
 -1
1363
2021-20222022/04/15 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1794
 +3
1797
8 - 0
 82 13 5 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1416
 -3
1413
2021-20222022/02/28 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1410
 +6
1416
0 - 0
 14 20 65 Qarabag FK
1774
 -6
1768
2021-20222022/02/11 Azerbaijan Cup Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1423
 -8
1415
0 - 6
 14 20 65 Qarabag FK
1786
 +8
1794
2021-20222022/02/01 Azerbaijan Cup Qarabag FK
1777
 +1
1778
1 - 0
 80 14 6 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1434
 -1
1433
2021-20222021/11/19 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1791
 +1
1792
1 - 0
 81 13 6 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1428
 -1
1427
2021-20222021/09/25 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1407
 +6
1413
1 - 1
 15 20 65 Qarabag FK
1768
 -6
1762
2020-20212021/05/14 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1743
 +3
1746
2 - 0
 77 15 8 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1443
 -3
1440
2020-20212021/04/04 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1447
 +5
1452
1 - 1
 18 23 59 Qarabag FK
1754
 -5
1749
2020-20212020/11/01 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1753
 +4
1757
6 - 1
 74 16 9 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1493
 -4
1489
2020-20212020/09/11 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1496
 +5
1501
0 - 0
 20 24 56 Qarabag FK
1775
 -5
1770
2019-20202020/03/08 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1496
 -9
1487
0 - 2
 21 25 53 Qarabag FK
1754
 +9
1763
2019-20202019/12/20 Azerbaijan Cup Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1499
 -9
1490
1 - 3
 23 26 52 Qarabag FK
1743
 +9
1752
2019-20202019/12/16 Azerbaijan Cup Qarabag FK
1741
 +2
1743
1 - 0
 73 17 10 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1501
 -2
1499
2019-20202019/12/06 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1759
 -8
1751
2 - 2
 75 16 9 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1493
 +8
1501
2019-20202019/08/16 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1439
 -4
1435
0 - 1
 16 21 63 Qarabag FK
1781
 +4
1785
2018-20192019/04/18 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1765
 +3
1768
3 - 0
 79 14 7 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1436
 -3
1433
2018-20192019/03/03 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1468
 -5
1463
0 - 1
 20 24 56 Qarabag FK
1745
 +5
1750
2018-20192018/12/20 Azerbaijan Cup Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1483
 +4
1487
1 - 1
 21 25 54 Qarabag FK
1750
 -4
1746
2018-20192018/12/16 Azerbaijan Cup Qarabag FK
1748
 +2
1750
1 - 0
 75 16 9 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1485
 -2
1483
2018-20192018/12/03 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1733
 +4
1737
5 - 1
 74 17 10 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1480
 -4
1476
2018-20192018/10/31 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1473
 +4
1477
1 - 1
 22 25 53 Qarabag FK
1730
 -4
1726
2017-20182018/05/12 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1493
 +26
1519
3 - 0
 19 24 57 Qarabag FK
1783
 -26
1757
2017-20182018/04/01 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1794
 -8
1786
1 - 1
 80 14 6 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1458
 +8
1466
2017-20182017/10/13 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1512
 -8
1504
0 - 2
 19 24 57 Qarabag FK
1799
 +8
1807
2017-20182017/08/19 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1812
 +2
1814
1 - 0
 76 16 9 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1532
 -2
1530
2016-20172017/04/16 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1547
 -12
1535
0 - 3
 26 27 47 Qarabag FK
1752
 +12
1764
2016-20172017/02/28 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1769
 -17
1752
0 - 1
 69 19 12 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1570
 +17
1587
2016-20172016/12/17 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1788
 -7
1781
0 - 0
 69 19 12 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1585
 +7
1592
2016-20172016/08/07 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1790
 -17
1773
1 - 2
 72 17 11 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1556
 +17
1573
2015-20162016/05/04 Azerbaijan Cup Qarabag FK
1792
 +3
1795
1 - 0
 72 17 10 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1557
 -3
1554
2015-20162016/04/27 Azerbaijan Cup Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1578
 -14
1564
0 - 4
 27 28 46 Qarabag FK
1771
 +14
1785
2015-20162016/04/22 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1766
 +5
1771
2 - 0
 67 20 13 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1583
 -5
1578
2015-20162016/02/27 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1595
 +1
1596
1 - 1
 31 29 40 Qarabag FK
1735
 -1
1734
2015-20162015/12/06 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1764
 +4
1768
1 - 0
 61 22 17 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1637
 -4
1633
2015-20162015/10/04 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1662
 -14
1648
0 - 2
 34 29 37 Qarabag FK
1776
 +14
1790
2014-20152015/05/22 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1689
 +8
1697
2 - 1
 41 29 30 Qarabag FK
1736
 -8
1728
2014-20152015/04/02 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1742
 -5
1737
0 - 0
 55 25 20 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1670
 +5
1675
2014-20152014/10/29 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1640
 0
1640
0 - 0
 37 29 34 Qarabag FK
1728
 0
1728
2014-20152014/08/16 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1675
 -3
1672
0 - 0
 49 27 24 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1653
 +3
1656
2013-20142014/05/07 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1659
 +11
1670
4 - 1
 50 27 24 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1630
 -11
1619
2013-20142014/03/16 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1579
 -18
1561
0 - 3
 37 29 34 Qarabag FK
1663
 +18
1681
2013-20142013/12/20 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1636
 +8
1644
2 - 0
 54 25 21 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1568
 -8
1560
2013-20142013/08/04 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1585
 -12
1573
1 - 2
 43 29 28 Qarabag FK
1611
 +12
1623
2012-20132013/05/09 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1586
 -3
1583
0 - 0
 48 27 25 Qarabag FK
1575
 +3
1578
2012-20132013/04/13 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1559
 +8
1567
3 - 2
 43 29 29 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1591
 -8
1583
2012-20132013/03/03 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1557
 -2
1555
0 - 0
 43 29 28 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1583
 +2
1585
2012-20132012/08/05 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1581
 -3
1578
1 - 1
 49 27 24 Qarabag FK
1560
 +3
1563
2011-20122012/05/05 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1565
 +7
1572
1 - 0
 46 28 26 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1569
 -7
1562
2011-20122012/04/07 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1581
 -2
1579
1 - 1
 44 28 28 Qarabag FK
1603
 +2
1605
2011-20122011/11/20 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1575
 -3
1572
0 - 0
 46 28 26 Qarabag FK
1573
 +3
1576
2011-20122011/08/14 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1603
 +7
1610
1 - 0
 49 27 24 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1581
 -7
1574
2010-20112011/04/24 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1594
 +6
1600
1 - 0
 49 27 24 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1567
 -6
1561
2010-20112011/03/12 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1598
 -20
1578
0 - 2
 48 27 25 Qarabag FK
1580
 +20
1600
2010-20112010/12/04 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1537
 +9
1546
1 - 0
 38 29 33 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1613
 -9
1604
2010-20112010/09/11 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1647
 +6
1653
1 - 0
 52 26 22 Qarabag FK
1594
 -6
1588
2009-20102010/05/01 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1682
 -16
1666
0 - 1
 63 21 15 Qarabag FK
1537
 +16
1553
2009-20102010/03/27 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1558
 +1
1559
1 - 1
 32 29 39 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1692
 -1
1691
2009-20102010/02/17 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1587
 -1
1586
1 - 1
 38 29 33 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1665
 +1
1666
2009-20102009/11/07 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1655
 +5
1660
2 - 1
 54 25 21 Qarabag FK
1586
 -5
1581
2008-20092009/05/03 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1506
 +2
1508
1 - 1
 29 29 43 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1676
 -2
1674
2008-20092008/11/15 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1681
 -7
1674
1 - 1
 71 18 11 Qarabag FK
1458
 +7
1465
2007-20082008/04/19 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1617
 +4
1621
1 - 0
 66 20 14 Qarabag FK
1448
 -4
1444
2007-20082007/10/28 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1437
 -8
1429
0 - 1
 29 29 43 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1607
 +8
1615
2006-20072007/05/18 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1589
 +4
1593
1 - 0
 63 21 15 Qarabag FK
1441
 -4
1437
2006-20072006/11/26 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1522
 -11
1511
0 - 1
 39 29 32 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1585
 +11
1596
2005-20062006/04/16 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1490
 +11
1501
1 - 0
 33 29 37 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1609
 -11
1598
2005-20062005/10/30 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1587
 +9
1596
2 - 0
 52 26 22 Qarabag FK
1541
 -9
1532
2004-20052005/04/12 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1572
 +9
1581
1 - 0
 38 29 33 Qarabag FK
1645
 -9
1636
2004-20052004/11/06 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1615
 +9
1624
3 - 1
 53 25 21 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1555
 -9
1546
2003-20042003/11/16 Premyer Liqasi Samaxi FK
(as Keshla FK)
1549
 -17
1532
0 - 2
 39 29 32 Qarabag FK
1611
 +17
1628
2002-20032003/06/15 Premyer Liqasi Qarabag FK
1520
 +8
1528
3 - 1
 55 25 20 Samaxi FK
(asKeshla FK)
1450
 -8
1442

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